← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.72+4.96vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.38+0.49vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.52+1.22vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.01+1.38vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.22-0.25vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.06-1.91vs Predicted
-
8McGill University0.42+0.35vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University1.41-2.59vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.76-4.16vs Predicted
-
11University of Connecticut1.13-3.91vs Predicted
-
12Wesleyan University-1.15-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.720.1%1st Place
-
2.49Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
-
4.22Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
-
5.38Boston University2.010.1%1st Place
-
4.75Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
-
5.09Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.35McGill University0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.41Harvard University1.410.1%1st Place
-
5.84Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
-
7.09University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
-
10.41Wesleyan University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Joba-Woodruff | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| James Beatty | 36.1% | 23.9% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 13.2% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Lynn | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Orchardo | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Francis Guiton | 2.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 35.6% | 12.7% |
| Adam Brodheim | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Javaly | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 10.6% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.