Race 1B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Louis Frumer 10.0% 11.2% 12.3% 11.7% 14.4% 14.3% 15.6% 7.1% 2.4% 1.0%
Zachary Vickerson 9.3% 11.8% 13.4% 15.0% 15.4% 13.6% 11.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.6%
Sam Gates 13.0% 15.2% 15.4% 15.6% 15.5% 13.4% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Stephen Fletcher 6.7% 7.0% 10.1% 11.5% 14.8% 16.4% 16.3% 9.6% 6.1% 1.5%
Drake Lyon 30.3% 23.4% 18.3% 13.1% 7.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Davis 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 6.1% 8.7% 9.3% 15.3% 21.0% 18.7% 9.9%
Zachary Hall 22.7% 21.5% 18.4% 15.8% 11.0% 6.5% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Daniel Leichus 2.1% 3.9% 4.2% 6.2% 6.2% 10.8% 14.6% 21.7% 18.6% 11.7%
Henry Bushnell 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 5.7% 9.5% 14.5% 27.4% 32.7%
Martin Hooker 1.1% 0.7% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 5.1% 6.3% 13.5% 22.6% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.