Race 2B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Drake Lyon 32.0% 23.0% 15.3% 13.5% 7.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Louis Frumer 8.7% 8.4% 13.9% 13.3% 15.6% 15.9% 11.2% 8.9% 3.1% 1.0%
Stephen Fletcher 6.7% 7.4% 9.8% 9.9% 12.8% 17.7% 17.9% 10.8% 5.9% 1.1%
Zachary Vickerson 9.4% 10.7% 14.2% 14.3% 17.6% 13.9% 10.1% 7.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Sam Gates 14.5% 16.2% 15.0% 17.7% 15.1% 9.6% 6.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Emma Davis 3.7% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 8.2% 11.0% 15.3% 19.4% 20.3% 9.1%
Zachary Hall 20.5% 24.5% 19.7% 14.1% 10.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Daniel Leichus 2.2% 3.7% 3.9% 6.2% 6.1% 10.8% 16.2% 20.9% 18.5% 11.5%
Martin Hooker 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 4.9% 8.4% 11.4% 25.2% 41.1%
Henry Bushnell 1.2% 1.0% 2.7% 3.4% 3.4% 5.1% 8.4% 15.3% 23.7% 35.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.