Race 3B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zachary Hall 24.5% 23.2% 17.5% 12.6% 10.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Drake Lyon 29.3% 23.6% 19.0% 12.8% 8.0% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Stephen Fletcher 7.1% 7.4% 9.5% 9.2% 13.9% 18.5% 16.3% 11.3% 5.8% 1.0%
Louis Frumer 7.8% 10.4% 12.2% 14.4% 15.5% 15.4% 11.7% 8.5% 3.3% 0.8%
Sam Gates 14.1% 15.8% 16.5% 17.9% 14.5% 9.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Zachary Vickerson 10.4% 11.2% 12.4% 16.6% 15.1% 12.7% 11.8% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5%
Emma Davis 2.4% 2.2% 5.2% 5.0% 8.3% 11.8% 16.5% 20.2% 19.9% 8.5%
Daniel Leichus 2.5% 3.1% 4.7% 5.0% 7.8% 10.5% 14.2% 20.9% 19.2% 12.1%
Martin Hooker 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 3.2% 2.9% 4.8% 8.8% 10.8% 25.7% 40.5%
Henry Bushnell 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 3.3% 3.1% 5.8% 9.1% 15.5% 22.2% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.