Race 4B

harvard-invitational-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Gates 15.4% 17.0% 15.2% 14.2% 13.6% 12.6% 7.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Zachary Hall 22.8% 21.0% 18.2% 16.3% 10.0% 7.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Davis 2.9% 3.1% 3.9% 6.0% 7.6% 9.4% 15.6% 22.3% 19.7% 9.5%
Zachary Vickerson 8.6% 11.5% 15.7% 12.4% 17.2% 14.3% 11.3% 6.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Louis Frumer 9.4% 10.5% 11.6% 13.3% 15.7% 16.6% 10.2% 8.5% 3.2% 1.0%
Drake Lyon 30.1% 23.2% 18.2% 13.6% 8.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Stephen Fletcher 5.6% 8.0% 9.6% 13.1% 12.9% 18.5% 15.8% 10.1% 5.1% 1.3%
Daniel Leichus 2.6% 3.6% 4.7% 4.9% 7.4% 8.3% 18.2% 19.6% 18.8% 11.9%
Henry Bushnell 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 3.4% 3.9% 5.3% 8.5% 15.2% 25.8% 33.6%
Martin Hooker 1.3% 0.9% 1.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.2% 8.8% 12.7% 23.0% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.