Race 5B

harvard-invitational-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Drake Lyon 30.0% 24.0% 17.5% 13.4% 6.7% 5.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Sam Gates 13.9% 15.3% 17.2% 15.6% 14.2% 10.9% 7.9% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Louis Frumer 9.3% 9.7% 11.5% 13.1% 16.5% 14.1% 13.5% 8.9% 3.0% 0.4%
Zachary Vickerson 8.9% 12.3% 12.8% 13.9% 17.9% 14.4% 10.7% 5.7% 3.1% 0.3%
Stephen Fletcher 7.4% 8.6% 9.2% 11.9% 13.6% 16.8% 14.5% 11.8% 4.9% 1.3%
Zachary Hall 22.8% 22.5% 19.0% 14.9% 10.0% 6.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Daniel Leichus 2.6% 1.9% 4.4% 5.7% 6.3% 10.2% 16.3% 21.5% 19.3% 11.8%
Emma Davis 2.8% 3.1% 5.1% 6.0% 7.6% 12.9% 13.5% 21.0% 17.8% 10.2%
Henry Bushnell 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 10.8% 12.4% 28.3% 32.8%
Martin Hooker 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.1% 7.9% 13.3% 22.1% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.