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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Louis Frumer 9.8% 11.5% 10.7% 13.5% 13.8% 14.4% 14.2% 8.6% 2.7% 0.8%
Sam Gates 13.5% 15.1% 16.4% 15.0% 16.0% 12.1% 7.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.0%
Zachary Hall 21.9% 21.5% 18.5% 16.1% 11.3% 6.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Vickerson 10.0% 10.5% 13.7% 15.8% 14.6% 15.5% 11.0% 6.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Drake Lyon 29.8% 24.8% 17.9% 12.5% 7.9% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Davis 3.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.4% 7.6% 11.1% 14.6% 20.9% 20.0% 9.0%
Daniel Leichus 1.7% 2.6% 4.2% 6.1% 7.5% 9.3% 17.0% 20.0% 19.9% 11.7%
Stephen Fletcher 6.6% 8.7% 10.4% 10.2% 14.3% 16.9% 14.9% 11.2% 5.1% 1.7%
Martin Hooker 1.5% 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 3.6% 4.6% 7.2% 12.8% 25.2% 40.4%
Henry Bushnell 1.3% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 5.5% 8.9% 15.2% 23.0% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.