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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.58+3.75vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+1.95vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.11vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.71+0.53vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.74-2.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.48+0.89vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.39+0.12vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.48-2.54vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-0.32-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Bowdoin College1.580.1%1st Place
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3.95Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.2%1st Place
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4.53Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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2.69Boston College2.740.3%1st Place
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6.89Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University0.390.0%1st Place
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5.26Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.25Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Frumer | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Sam Gates | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 21.9% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Drake Lyon | 29.8% | 24.8% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 9.0% |
| Daniel Leichus | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 19.9% | 11.7% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 25.2% | 40.4% |
| Henry Bushnell | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.