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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+1.53vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+2.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.96+0.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.53-0.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+1.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.00-1.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.54-3.31vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.10-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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4.62Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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3.02Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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4.45Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 31.8% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Philip Koch | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.6% |
| Juan Perdomo | 20.7% | 23.1% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 52.8% | 12.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 23.7% | 12.8% | 0.4% |
| Colin Meade | 14.5% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 9.7% | 84.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.