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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.96vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+2.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53+0.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.68+2.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.54-1.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26-3.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.00-2.46vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.10-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
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4.62Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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3.64Tufts University2.540.1%1st Place
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2.59Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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4.54Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 23.9% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 24.2% | 13.6% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 14.6% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 51.8% | 13.9% |
| Colin Meade | 13.2% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 28.9% | 26.4% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.2% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.1% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.