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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.48+2.70vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.65+2.33vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College-0.29+2.45vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.16vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.44vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-3.25vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.26-2.83vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.35-0.36vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.79-2.47vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.99-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.4%1st Place
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4.7University of Vermont0.4811.2%1st Place
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5.33Christopher Newport University0.659.2%1st Place
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6.45Connecticut College-0.295.0%1st Place
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3.84Clemson University0.7318.6%1st Place
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6.44SUNY Maritime College-0.276.0%1st Place
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3.75George Washington University1.0719.7%1st Place
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5.17North Carolina State University0.2610.2%1st Place
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8.64University of Maryland-1.352.2%1st Place
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7.53Washington College-0.793.4%1st Place
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9.64William and Mary-1.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Cho-Cho Williams | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Audrey Commerford | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Grace Watlington | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
Natalie Fear | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
Nilah Miller | 18.6% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Isabelle Gautier | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 19.7% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Evelyn Hannah | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 26.6% | 25.8% |
Imogene Nuss | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 10.3% |
Alexa Bodor | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 19.6% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.