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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+1.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26-0.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.54-0.31vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.96-0.34vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.68+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.10+0.68vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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2.55Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.66Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.47Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 21.4% | 25.3% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 13.9% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 31.2% | 24.3% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 15.4% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Philip Koch | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 14.9% | 1.4% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 52.0% | 12.5% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 84.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 8.7% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 11.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.