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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+2.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+0.62vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.96+1.55vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96-0.97vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.00-0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.68+0.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.53-3.27vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.10-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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4.55Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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3.03Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
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4.52Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.26Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 15.4% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 28.9% | 25.5% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 26.5% | 13.0% | 1.2% |
| Juan Perdomo | 21.8% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 13.6% | 1.2% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 51.1% | 12.2% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 14.7% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.