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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+1.68vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.96+1.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.54-0.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+1.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.00-1.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.26-4.35vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.10-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
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3.68Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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4.53Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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4.46Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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2.65Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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7.7University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 23.1% | 22.0% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Philip Koch | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 12.3% | 1.3% |
| Colin Meade | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 14.9% | 54.1% | 12.2% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 23.5% | 12.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 30.6% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.