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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+2.58vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+2.64vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.00+1.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26-1.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.53-1.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.96-3.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.68-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.10-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Tufts University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.64Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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2.99Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 15.8% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Philip Koch | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 23.3% | 13.6% | 1.8% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 23.3% | 12.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 29.1% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 12.6% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Juan Perdomo | 22.7% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 53.6% | 13.4% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 11.0% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.