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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+1.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+0.61vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.00+1.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.54-0.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.53-1.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.96-1.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.68-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.10-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
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2.61Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
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4.51Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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4.53Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
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6.31Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 23.0% | 22.5% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 30.0% | 24.0% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 23.9% | 11.9% | 1.3% |
| Colin Meade | 13.2% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 13.1% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Philip Koch | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 1.6% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 52.8% | 13.3% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 10.9% | 82.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.