← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.96+1.96vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.26+0.60vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.53+0.69vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.54-0.30vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.00-0.50vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.96-1.46vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.68-0.68vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.10-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Harvard University2.960.2%1st Place
-
2.6Tufts University3.260.3%1st Place
-
3.69Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
-
3.7Tufts University2.540.1%1st Place
-
4.5Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
-
4.54Bowdoin College1.960.1%1st Place
-
6.32Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
-
7.69University of Connecticut-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 23.5% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 30.0% | 24.2% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Colin Meade | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 11.3% | 0.9% |
| Philip Koch | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 24.7% | 12.0% | 1.6% |
| Ballard Blair | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 54.2% | 13.2% |
| Khalil Rahman | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 10.5% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.