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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.47vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.07+1.77vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.65+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+0.60vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.27+1.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College-0.29+0.48vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73-3.26vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.79-0.54vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.26-3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.35-1.40vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-1.99-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.4%1st Place
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3.77George Washington University1.0717.8%1st Place
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5.37Christopher Newport University0.657.9%1st Place
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4.6University of Vermont0.4812.8%1st Place
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6.46SUNY Maritime College-0.275.3%1st Place
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6.48Connecticut College-0.297.0%1st Place
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3.74Clemson University0.7319.1%1st Place
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7.46Washington College-0.794.1%1st Place
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5.33North Carolina State University0.268.8%1st Place
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8.6University of Maryland-1.351.9%1st Place
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9.72William and Mary-1.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Cho-Cho Williams | 14.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 17.8% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Grace Watlington | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Audrey Commerford | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 2.8% |
Natalie Fear | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
Nilah Miller | 19.1% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Imogene Nuss | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 9.4% |
Evelyn Hannah | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
Lara Nielsen | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 28.1% | 24.7% |
Alexa Bodor | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.