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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+3.95vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.23+4.08vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.26+5.60vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.70+3.17vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut2.51+2.68vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.65+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.75-0.08vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.84+1.94vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37-4.36vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.72-4.06vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.39-0.60vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.11-7.55vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.89-7.79vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.81-4.72vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.30-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Boston University3.560.2%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.6Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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8.17Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College2.650.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island2.750.1%1st Place
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10.94Middlebury College1.840.0%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.4McGill University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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7.21Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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11.28University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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12.81Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rob Struckett | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| David Pierce | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Ryan White | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Parish | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Hansel | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Bianca Dragone | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% |
| William Hutchings | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Hughes | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Wesley Yland | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 28.2% |
| Quentin Chafee | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Neal Drake | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 12.7% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.