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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+1.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+0.31vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.80-0.02vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut1.13-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Connecticut College2.750.2%1st Place
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1.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.5%1st Place
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3.31Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.98Connecticut College1.800.1%1st Place
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4.14Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 20.8% | 28.1% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 47.0% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 14.0% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 22.8% | 17.4% | 6.6% |
| Eliza Garry | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 27.0% | 17.6% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 23.0% | 23.7% |
| Jennifer Lee | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.