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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.65vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.13+0.99vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.76-0.68vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.80-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.6%1st Place
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2.78Connecticut College2.290.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.32Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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3.26Connecticut College1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 58.8% | 23.7% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 15.9% | 28.9% | 26.1% | 19.6% | 9.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 5.4% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 49.2% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 8.9% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 28.4% | 20.6% |
| Eliza Garry | 11.0% | 18.4% | 23.6% | 27.7% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.