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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+1.73vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.73+1.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13-0.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Connecticut College2.290.2%1st Place
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3.35Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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1.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.6%1st Place
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3.96University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.33Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 17.7% | 28.8% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 10.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 9.2% | 17.4% | 24.9% | 25.9% | 22.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 57.8% | 26.6% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 5.7% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 24.5% | 45.9% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 9.6% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.