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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+1.50vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.73+1.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.13-0.17vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Connecticut College2.290.3%1st Place
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3.16Connecticut College1.730.2%1st Place
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2.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.3%1st Place
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3.83University of Connecticut1.130.1%1st Place
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3.14Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 28.6% | 25.4% | 22.2% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 15.2% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 23.2% | 21.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 32.3% | 26.4% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
| Jennifer Lee | 7.8% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 44.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 16.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 26.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.