Race 1A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 19.7% 17.2% 16.0% 12.5% 10.3% 8.6% 5.9% 3.7% 2.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Domenic Bove 7.8% 9.8% 9.8% 7.4% 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 8.3% 9.1% 6.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.9%
John Cappetta 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 5.7% 6.7% 5.9% 6.9% 8.7% 10.2% 13.7% 13.7% 14.5%
Nicholas Arabia 7.6% 7.7% 7.3% 9.2% 7.6% 8.2% 9.5% 8.3% 9.5% 9.4% 6.7% 5.9% 3.1%
Scott Goodrich 9.5% 9.9% 8.4% 10.0% 9.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.8% 7.1% 6.9% 5.7% 4.0% 1.6%
Jonathan Pope 8.3% 8.7% 8.6% 8.5% 9.3% 10.0% 8.6% 9.0% 7.8% 7.5% 6.5% 5.2% 2.0%
Duncan Williford 15.2% 13.6% 13.9% 10.8% 10.8% 8.0% 8.2% 6.8% 5.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Christopher Ford 9.7% 10.2% 10.0% 10.6% 9.3% 10.0% 9.1% 8.9% 8.0% 5.8% 4.4% 3.2% 0.8%
William Dykes 1.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 3.3% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.6% 10.4% 16.3% 32.4%
Michael Rottier 5.1% 3.7% 5.5% 5.1% 5.0% 7.2% 8.6% 7.5% 8.7% 8.7% 11.0% 13.2% 10.7%
Peter Girard 3.6% 3.6% 4.1% 5.9% 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.4% 11.3% 12.5% 12.1%
Viktor Wettergren 5.5% 6.0% 5.1% 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 7.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.4% 10.9% 7.7% 6.2%
Jeffrey Adam 3.3% 3.2% 4.4% 4.4% 6.2% 6.0% 7.1% 7.6% 7.0% 12.4% 11.0% 13.0% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.