Race 2A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 19.7% 17.3% 15.2% 10.9% 12.1% 8.5% 6.5% 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Duncan Williford 13.9% 13.4% 13.6% 11.8% 11.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.1% 4.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Nicholas Arabia 5.3% 8.1% 8.6% 8.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.6% 9.3% 9.5% 9.0% 7.8% 4.8% 2.9%
Christopher Ford 9.8% 9.5% 9.4% 12.0% 8.7% 8.8% 9.3% 9.0% 7.6% 6.9% 5.6% 2.4% 1.0%
Viktor Wettergren 6.5% 5.9% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 7.9% 6.8% 9.4% 9.5% 8.8% 10.2% 8.1% 5.2%
Scott Goodrich 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 8.3% 8.6% 11.5% 8.4% 8.9% 8.1% 6.1% 6.2% 4.7% 1.6%
Peter Girard 4.5% 4.8% 4.1% 5.0% 5.6% 4.9% 6.2% 7.3% 8.5% 9.9% 11.9% 15.4% 11.9%
John Cappetta 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 4.0% 5.2% 4.9% 6.9% 8.0% 8.0% 10.3% 12.4% 14.7% 13.6%
Jonathan Pope 8.0% 8.2% 7.2% 9.7% 8.9% 10.0% 8.6% 7.9% 9.8% 7.9% 5.4% 5.0% 3.4%
Michael Rottier 5.2% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 5.7% 6.0% 8.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.7% 11.1% 11.3% 11.9%
Domenic Bove 9.1% 9.6% 9.9% 10.1% 8.6% 10.7% 8.8% 9.1% 6.9% 8.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.9%
Jeffrey Adam 3.4% 4.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.7% 6.2% 9.3% 9.2% 12.3% 14.7% 12.7%
William Dykes 1.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 5.5% 5.9% 5.8% 9.7% 9.4% 14.7% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.