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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+4.76vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+1.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+1.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28+3.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.52+1.54vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.61+0.27vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.96-0.60vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.80-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35-1.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.36vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.69-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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3.86Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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4.74Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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8.68Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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9.8University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Ford | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.0% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Pope | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Girard | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.8% |
| Michael Rottier | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% |
| John Cappetta | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% |
| William Dykes | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 28.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% |
| Domenic Bove | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.