Race 4A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Williford 14.6% 13.0% 13.0% 10.5% 11.5% 10.2% 7.3% 7.2% 4.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.5%
Domenic Bove 7.5% 9.9% 8.5% 9.9% 8.3% 9.7% 9.3% 9.6% 8.2% 7.1% 6.5% 3.4% 2.1%
Christopher Ford 9.4% 10.1% 9.7% 10.8% 9.2% 9.4% 10.0% 8.7% 8.1% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1%
Michael Croteau 19.8% 17.1% 15.4% 14.3% 6.5% 8.2% 8.2% 5.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Jeffrey Adam 4.8% 3.8% 5.0% 4.6% 7.1% 5.6% 5.8% 8.0% 8.0% 9.9% 13.2% 12.3% 11.9%
Scott Goodrich 9.2% 8.3% 9.6% 8.5% 10.8% 9.3% 10.1% 7.3% 8.6% 7.1% 5.0% 4.4% 1.8%
Peter Girard 4.3% 4.0% 4.5% 6.1% 5.1% 4.4% 6.4% 7.0% 9.5% 10.1% 10.2% 15.1% 13.3%
John Cappetta 3.5% 4.5% 4.1% 3.2% 6.2% 5.2% 6.3% 7.5% 8.7% 9.5% 13.1% 13.5% 14.7%
Michael Rottier 4.4% 4.1% 4.4% 6.2% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 7.9% 8.8% 11.5% 10.5% 12.1% 12.3%
Nicholas Arabia 8.5% 6.7% 8.1% 8.4% 9.4% 10.1% 7.1% 8.1% 8.7% 8.5% 6.1% 7.3% 3.0%
Viktor Wettergren 5.8% 6.5% 7.4% 6.7% 8.5% 8.1% 9.2% 10.0% 8.8% 8.2% 9.5% 6.8% 4.5%
William Dykes 1.9% 2.7% 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.3% 5.2% 6.1% 7.2% 10.9% 16.9% 32.2%
Jonathan Pope 6.3% 9.3% 8.1% 8.0% 9.0% 9.5% 9.3% 8.2% 10.0% 8.5% 6.8% 4.5% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.