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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.11+5.43vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.84+8.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23+3.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+1.84vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.56-0.91vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.65+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.75-0.09vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.89-1.77vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.72-2.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.34vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.30+0.64vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.26-3.38vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.70-6.06vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut2.51-6.40vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.39-3.47vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.81-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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10.96Middlebury College1.840.0%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College2.650.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island2.750.1%1st Place
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7.23Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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12.64Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
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9.62Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.94Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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12.53McGill University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.28University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Chafee | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Bianca Dragone | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Rob Struckett | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Hutchings | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Pesch | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parish | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Stephen Hansel | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Hughes | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 31.4% |
| David Pierce | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Ryan White | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Wesley Yland | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 25.9% |
| Neal Drake | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.