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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.26+4.18vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+3.41vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.27+3.46vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.28vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College-0.13+0.50vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.79+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48-3.41vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.07-5.19vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-1.99-0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.35-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18North Carolina State University0.269.8%1st Place
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5.41Christopher Newport University0.659.2%1st Place
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6.46SUNY Maritime College-0.275.7%1st Place
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4.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6713.2%1st Place
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3.72Clemson University0.7318.4%1st Place
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6.5Connecticut College-0.135.8%1st Place
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7.47Washington College-0.793.6%1st Place
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4.59University of Vermont0.4813.3%1st Place
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3.81George Washington University1.0718.6%1st Place
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9.62William and Mary-1.991.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Maryland-1.351.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Evelyn Hannah | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Grace Watlington | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Nilah Miller | 18.4% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Lilly Saffer | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
Imogene Nuss | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 9.7% |
Audrey Commerford | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 18.6% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Alexa Bodor | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 19.1% | 53.8% |
Lara Nielsen | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 29.3% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.