Race 5A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 20.1% 17.2% 15.6% 11.9% 10.4% 8.1% 6.8% 3.9% 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 5.7% 5.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.2% 10.6% 9.5% 8.5% 10.0% 4.5%
Scott Goodrich 7.4% 8.4% 10.5% 7.7% 9.0% 10.2% 10.0% 9.4% 9.3% 7.3% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8%
Nicholas Arabia 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 8.4% 8.0% 9.9% 9.4% 7.0% 8.9% 9.0% 8.0% 5.2% 3.3%
Peter Girard 4.6% 3.5% 3.8% 6.0% 6.2% 5.8% 5.7% 7.6% 8.5% 10.0% 12.4% 13.2% 12.7%
Christopher Ford 10.1% 9.8% 10.4% 10.0% 10.9% 8.1% 10.4% 7.7% 7.4% 5.7% 4.7% 3.8% 1.0%
Duncan Williford 15.1% 13.3% 12.3% 12.5% 10.9% 8.6% 7.6% 7.2% 5.3% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Domenic Bove 8.6% 9.2% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 8.7% 8.9% 11.7% 7.1% 6.2% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7%
John Cappetta 3.7% 4.3% 3.5% 4.6% 4.3% 5.0% 6.1% 7.9% 8.2% 10.3% 13.3% 13.6% 15.2%
Michael Rottier 4.8% 4.4% 4.3% 5.5% 5.9% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.3% 10.7% 10.6% 11.1% 12.0%
Jonathan Pope 7.4% 9.6% 9.8% 9.1% 9.6% 10.2% 8.5% 8.4% 8.5% 7.4% 5.4% 3.5% 2.6%
Jeffrey Adam 3.1% 4.8% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 6.1% 5.4% 8.9% 8.5% 9.7% 11.5% 13.9% 13.6%
William Dykes 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 5.7% 4.4% 7.0% 8.6% 10.6% 16.4% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.