Race 6A

barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 20.4% 17.8% 13.8% 13.2% 10.3% 6.3% 7.4% 4.4% 3.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Jonathan Pope 7.3% 7.8% 9.4% 7.9% 9.1% 9.7% 9.2% 9.1% 8.5% 8.6% 6.6% 4.3% 2.5%
Scott Goodrich 6.7% 9.8% 8.5% 10.4% 9.4% 8.8% 9.1% 10.2% 8.7% 7.4% 4.2% 4.4% 2.4%
Christopher Ford 10.6% 7.6% 11.3% 10.1% 10.4% 9.3% 8.8% 8.0% 8.1% 6.2% 6.5% 2.0% 1.1%
Duncan Williford 14.2% 16.4% 12.3% 11.1% 8.7% 11.5% 8.1% 5.8% 4.6% 3.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Domenic Bove 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 10.3% 9.1% 10.2% 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 6.5% 5.1% 5.0% 1.7%
John Cappetta 4.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 7.2% 7.0% 11.0% 12.3% 13.9% 13.8%
Viktor Wettergren 5.5% 6.9% 6.9% 6.1% 7.3% 7.9% 8.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.6% 9.3% 8.1% 4.3%
Peter Girard 3.6% 4.2% 3.9% 4.8% 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 7.6% 8.8% 9.7% 12.5% 13.6% 15.0%
Nicholas Arabia 8.4% 7.0% 7.3% 7.9% 10.5% 9.4% 8.8% 8.0% 7.3% 8.6% 6.8% 7.0% 3.0%
Jeffrey Adam 3.5% 3.5% 6.4% 6.2% 5.1% 5.6% 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 10.4% 12.1% 10.6% 11.6%
Michael Rottier 3.7% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 6.9% 6.1% 7.2% 8.0% 9.3% 8.3% 10.4% 15.1% 11.3%
William Dykes 2.1% 1.6% 2.8% 2.3% 3.3% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 7.0% 8.2% 11.4% 14.4% 32.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.