Race 7A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 19.8% 17.9% 14.4% 12.4% 10.8% 7.7% 6.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Nicholas Arabia 6.6% 7.4% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.8% 9.0% 8.7% 9.2% 9.0% 6.5% 6.1% 2.8%
Duncan Williford 13.9% 14.7% 11.3% 10.6% 12.4% 9.8% 8.2% 6.2% 5.5% 4.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Viktor Wettergren 5.3% 5.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 7.8% 6.8% 11.0% 7.8% 9.1% 11.1% 7.7% 5.7%
Scott Goodrich 8.7% 10.5% 9.4% 9.8% 7.6% 9.4% 8.8% 7.7% 9.3% 8.7% 4.8% 3.9% 1.4%
Domenic Bove 9.3% 9.1% 8.0% 10.9% 9.8% 9.5% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 7.2% 4.8% 5.6% 1.4%
Michael Rottier 5.0% 4.0% 6.7% 4.9% 6.1% 5.3% 6.2% 8.9% 8.6% 9.5% 12.4% 13.5% 8.9%
Christopher Ford 10.0% 10.4% 10.9% 8.1% 10.0% 10.2% 10.0% 8.6% 7.1% 6.4% 4.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Jonathan Pope 8.4% 7.6% 8.6% 9.3% 8.0% 8.9% 10.9% 7.4% 9.4% 6.2% 6.8% 5.7% 2.8%
John Cappetta 4.3% 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 3.9% 6.4% 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% 9.3% 12.2% 13.0% 16.0%
Jeffrey Adam 3.5% 3.7% 5.1% 6.3% 6.0% 5.6% 7.2% 9.7% 9.4% 10.2% 10.7% 11.4% 11.2%
Peter Girard 2.9% 4.4% 3.7% 4.3% 5.6% 6.2% 5.5% 7.0% 9.5% 8.4% 12.5% 15.1% 14.9%
William Dykes 2.3% 1.5% 2.7% 2.4% 2.7% 4.4% 5.1% 4.9% 5.8% 9.7% 10.8% 14.1% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.