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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+4.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+6.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+4.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52-0.12vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61+1.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.35+2.78vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.80+0.73vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.52-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.96-1.70vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68-5.09vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.40vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.88Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.78University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.73Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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5.91Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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4.82Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Ford | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Peter Girard | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 20.0% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Pope | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| William Dykes | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 28.5% |
| John Cappetta | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.2% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| Duncan Williford | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.