Race 9A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 20.1% 17.3% 15.9% 11.9% 10.7% 8.0% 5.5% 4.9% 3.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Duncan Williford 13.4% 14.7% 12.6% 12.6% 10.9% 9.1% 8.4% 6.1% 4.9% 3.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Viktor Wettergren 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 6.4% 8.7% 8.0% 8.4% 9.5% 8.9% 9.7% 9.0% 8.2% 5.8%
Christopher Ford 9.2% 10.5% 9.6% 10.6% 9.3% 8.7% 10.7% 8.3% 7.9% 7.5% 3.5% 2.8% 1.4%
John Cappetta 4.6% 3.3% 4.6% 4.5% 5.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5% 14.0% 13.7% 14.2%
Michael Rottier 5.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 5.9% 6.7% 6.3% 7.9% 9.1% 10.9% 11.0% 11.4% 11.3%
Nicholas Arabia 8.8% 7.3% 8.6% 7.7% 8.0% 8.9% 8.8% 9.1% 9.6% 7.9% 6.8% 5.7% 2.8%
Peter Girard 3.8% 4.6% 4.1% 3.8% 4.5% 7.1% 6.9% 7.0% 8.0% 10.1% 12.7% 14.0% 13.4%
William Dykes 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 4.7% 2.8% 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 9.1% 10.2% 15.2% 33.1%
Scott Goodrich 9.3% 8.3% 9.4% 9.6% 10.6% 9.3% 8.1% 7.8% 8.1% 6.3% 6.0% 5.0% 2.2%
Jeffrey Adam 3.9% 3.7% 5.9% 5.7% 5.2% 7.0% 7.6% 6.9% 11.0% 10.0% 9.3% 12.4% 11.4%
Jonathan Pope 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 9.9% 8.0% 9.2% 8.2% 10.1% 9.0% 7.5% 7.6% 5.6% 2.3%
Domenic Bove 7.3% 10.6% 7.4% 9.1% 8.1% 9.3% 10.8% 9.9% 6.9% 7.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.