Race 10A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Duncan Williford 14.9% 12.5% 14.2% 9.8% 12.5% 9.1% 7.8% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Christopher Ford 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 10.3% 11.1% 9.7% 9.0% 8.1% 7.5% 6.6% 4.4% 2.4% 1.7%
Michael Rottier 3.3% 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.8% 7.0% 8.1% 9.1% 10.5% 11.7% 13.5% 9.6%
Jonathan Pope 7.4% 8.3% 8.1% 9.6% 9.4% 8.2% 10.0% 8.8% 9.0% 7.5% 6.7% 5.0% 2.0%
Domenic Bove 9.1% 8.5% 10.8% 9.5% 7.9% 9.7% 8.4% 9.3% 9.1% 6.3% 5.8% 4.0% 1.6%
Michael Croteau 21.1% 18.2% 14.2% 12.3% 9.8% 7.3% 6.8% 4.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Girard 4.3% 5.2% 3.8% 5.5% 4.6% 5.1% 6.3% 8.3% 7.4% 10.5% 10.9% 15.3% 12.8%
John Cappetta 3.5% 4.7% 3.4% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 6.4% 8.4% 7.6% 10.1% 13.5% 12.9% 14.3%
Jeffrey Adam 4.2% 4.1% 4.2% 4.3% 5.3% 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 10.1% 9.5% 11.3% 12.3% 14.4%
Nicholas Arabia 7.7% 7.9% 7.5% 9.3% 8.2% 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 8.3% 8.8% 6.2% 6.5% 3.3%
Scott Goodrich 8.4% 9.3% 10.1% 9.4% 9.5% 11.1% 9.6% 8.1% 7.3% 7.1% 4.5% 4.1% 1.5%
William Dykes 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 4.5% 5.4% 6.4% 8.7% 10.2% 15.1% 32.8%
Viktor Wettergren 5.0% 5.4% 6.4% 6.2% 7.4% 8.7% 8.8% 8.3% 9.2% 9.5% 11.7% 7.7% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.