Race 11A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 20.7% 17.2% 14.1% 12.9% 10.1% 7.7% 6.7% 4.7% 2.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Nicholas Arabia 6.7% 8.0% 7.7% 7.1% 9.4% 9.7% 8.6% 10.3% 8.1% 8.5% 6.6% 6.0% 3.3%
Scott Goodrich 7.2% 9.2% 9.8% 8.4% 9.5% 8.9% 9.5% 9.9% 9.1% 6.3% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7%
Viktor Wettergren 5.7% 5.3% 6.3% 6.9% 8.0% 8.7% 7.7% 8.5% 9.1% 9.7% 10.2% 9.0% 4.9%
Domenic Bove 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 9.5% 8.5% 9.2% 8.1% 8.8% 9.1% 7.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.4%
Jeffrey Adam 4.4% 4.2% 5.0% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 9.2% 10.8% 11.8% 10.5% 13.5%
John Cappetta 4.7% 3.8% 5.3% 4.1% 4.8% 6.4% 6.4% 5.8% 8.1% 9.6% 11.5% 15.4% 14.1%
Christopher Ford 10.3% 9.6% 9.5% 10.8% 9.4% 8.6% 10.6% 9.5% 6.7% 6.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.1%
William Dykes 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 3.6% 3.4% 2.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.9% 8.4% 11.1% 15.4% 31.8%
Peter Girard 5.0% 3.5% 3.3% 5.4% 3.5% 7.5% 5.9% 7.9% 10.1% 8.5% 11.1% 13.8% 14.5%
Jonathan Pope 7.3% 8.9% 9.7% 9.0% 10.4% 9.2% 9.4% 8.2% 9.0% 8.4% 4.6% 3.9% 2.0%
Michael Rottier 4.2% 4.0% 3.7% 5.6% 6.0% 5.8% 7.1% 8.2% 7.2% 11.0% 12.4% 13.5% 11.3%
Duncan Williford 12.9% 14.0% 12.6% 12.0% 11.4% 9.0% 8.6% 5.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.