Race 12A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Croteau 19.7% 18.9% 13.2% 12.8% 10.7% 7.7% 6.1% 5.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 5.4% 5.4% 7.2% 6.4% 6.5% 9.9% 9.1% 7.7% 9.0% 10.1% 9.1% 8.6% 5.6%
Duncan Williford 13.7% 14.3% 12.7% 11.2% 10.9% 9.1% 8.2% 6.5% 6.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3%
Nicholas Arabia 7.4% 6.4% 8.6% 8.5% 9.9% 8.2% 8.2% 9.7% 9.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.0% 2.4%
Jonathan Pope 8.4% 8.8% 9.5% 9.9% 7.6% 7.9% 9.9% 8.4% 8.0% 8.9% 5.9% 4.1% 2.7%
Domenic Bove 8.8% 9.9% 8.4% 9.5% 10.6% 8.9% 9.7% 7.6% 7.7% 7.2% 4.8% 5.1% 1.8%
John Cappetta 4.6% 3.6% 5.3% 4.3% 5.3% 7.0% 5.2% 7.0% 7.5% 9.9% 12.7% 13.7% 13.9%
Christopher Ford 10.1% 10.1% 9.9% 9.6% 9.5% 9.0% 12.0% 8.0% 7.2% 6.3% 4.6% 3.0% 0.7%
Jeffrey Adam 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 4.1% 5.5% 5.6% 7.1% 7.9% 9.2% 9.7% 11.4% 13.5% 13.3%
Scott Goodrich 8.9% 8.0% 9.2% 10.1% 9.7% 10.7% 6.3% 9.8% 8.3% 6.2% 6.1% 4.8% 1.9%
Michael Rottier 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 6.7% 5.5% 6.3% 6.4% 10.0% 9.4% 10.6% 11.5% 10.6% 9.6%
Peter Girard 3.1% 4.3% 3.7% 4.3% 5.8% 5.3% 6.2% 7.4% 8.8% 9.9% 11.1% 15.7% 14.4%
William Dykes 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 4.4% 5.6% 5.0% 6.8% 8.0% 12.5% 12.8% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.