Race 1B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Scott Booth 7.8% 8.3% 7.9% 10.3% 9.6% 8.8% 10.9% 11.1% 9.8% 6.9% 6.1% 2.2% 0.3%
Jackson Hamilton 7.9% 8.7% 10.0% 9.6% 8.8% 11.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.7% 8.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Cutter O'Connell 10.9% 11.0% 13.0% 11.1% 11.9% 10.9% 9.1% 8.7% 6.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Reed Lorimer 7.7% 7.9% 7.8% 10.5% 9.4% 8.8% 11.2% 10.1% 9.5% 8.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.6%
Henry Dumke 11.5% 12.8% 9.0% 11.6% 10.4% 9.7% 10.5% 9.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Erin Mullins 13.6% 12.4% 14.0% 12.2% 10.8% 10.6% 8.3% 7.1% 5.3% 2.3% 3.0% 0.3% 0.1%
John Rolander 20.4% 18.5% 16.0% 11.9% 11.2% 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 9.9% 9.7% 10.7% 9.2% 10.6% 11.5% 10.5% 8.5% 8.7% 5.9% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Ryan Gershuny 2.1% 3.3% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 5.4% 8.5% 12.8% 16.0% 18.3% 15.4%
Thomas Gallagher 4.0% 3.6% 4.0% 3.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.0% 9.9% 11.5% 14.7% 13.1% 9.2% 6.7%
Jennifer Lee 1.9% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 4.8% 6.6% 8.2% 12.3% 16.4% 19.1% 14.7%
Alexander Calderwood 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 3.2% 3.8% 5.0% 6.1% 9.4% 13.6% 21.5% 29.8%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 2.4% 1.5% 2.7% 1.9% 4.8% 6.7% 8.7% 13.7% 22.3% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.