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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+4.51vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.48+1.58vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.79+3.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07-1.14vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.58vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.26-1.76vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College-0.13-1.55vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.64vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-1.99-0.30vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.35-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Christopher Newport University0.657.5%1st Place
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3.72Clemson University0.7319.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont0.4812.4%1st Place
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7.41Washington College-0.794.2%1st Place
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3.86George Washington University1.0717.4%1st Place
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6.58SUNY Maritime College-0.275.3%1st Place
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5.24North Carolina State University0.2610.2%1st Place
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6.45Connecticut College-0.136.1%1st Place
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4.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.6%1st Place
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9.7William and Mary-1.991.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Maryland-1.352.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grace Watlington | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
Nilah Miller | 19.1% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Audrey Commerford | 12.4% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Imogene Nuss | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 9.8% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 17.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
Evelyn Hannah | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
Lilly Saffer | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 3.8% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Alexa Bodor | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 55.7% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 26.5% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.