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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+4.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.23+4.09vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+2.05vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+4.10vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.39+6.50vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.89+0.42vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.70+0.14vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.81+1.97vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.11-3.52vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.65-2.73vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.84-0.98vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut2.51-4.30vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.75-6.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-7.52vs Predicted
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16Bates College2.26-6.31vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.30-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston University3.560.2%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College2.720.0%1st Place
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12.5McGill University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.42Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.97University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.02Middlebury College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island2.750.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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9.69Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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12.77Maine Maritime Academy1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rob Struckett | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 15.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hughes | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Wesley Yland | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 28.6% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Ryan White | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Neal Drake | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Quentin Chafee | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Parish | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Bianca Dragone | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 12.7% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Stephen Hansel | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| David Pierce | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 3.2% |
| Max Fleischfresser | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.