Race 3B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 10.8% 10.3% 11.3% 11.5% 10.1% 10.0% 11.6% 8.5% 8.1% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4%
Scott Booth 7.3% 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 12.4% 8.6% 11.0% 9.3% 8.3% 5.0% 2.5% 0.5%
Erin Mullins 12.6% 13.3% 13.5% 11.0% 11.8% 12.2% 7.3% 8.6% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
John Rolander 21.2% 18.3% 15.4% 12.4% 11.5% 7.1% 5.8% 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Reed Lorimer 9.0% 7.6% 9.2% 9.9% 8.9% 8.1% 11.6% 11.3% 9.9% 8.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.5%
Cutter O'Connell 11.9% 12.5% 11.6% 11.3% 12.6% 9.0% 9.6% 8.6% 5.3% 4.2% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Thomas Gallagher 4.2% 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.4% 5.6% 6.8% 9.5% 11.0% 13.9% 15.1% 10.4% 4.0%
Patrick Isherwood 9.0% 11.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.3% 11.9% 12.0% 10.0% 8.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 8.4% 8.7% 8.4% 9.8% 9.7% 11.3% 10.7% 10.1% 8.1% 8.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Jennifer Lee 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.2% 4.3% 5.4% 9.3% 13.2% 17.2% 19.8% 14.2%
Ryan Gershuny 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 4.1% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 11.3% 13.4% 17.7% 16.7% 10.0%
Alexander Calderwood 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 1.6% 2.7% 4.5% 4.3% 6.3% 9.7% 15.2% 24.1% 25.3%
Amy Macdonald 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 5.1% 7.8% 12.2% 19.5% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.