Race 4B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 11.4% 10.6% 11.7% 10.0% 11.0% 9.9% 10.0% 9.7% 8.0% 4.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.4%
John Rolander 21.4% 17.9% 14.5% 13.0% 11.5% 7.9% 6.2% 4.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Cutter O'Connell 9.8% 13.5% 12.3% 10.9% 10.2% 12.0% 10.1% 7.9% 7.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Scott Booth 6.5% 9.0% 7.7% 10.2% 8.6% 10.3% 10.4% 10.9% 10.5% 8.2% 5.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Jackson Hamilton 9.6% 8.1% 9.9% 10.1% 9.5% 9.2% 10.9% 10.9% 8.4% 6.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Erin Mullins 13.6% 13.8% 12.2% 11.9% 11.6% 10.9% 8.5% 7.5% 3.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Thomas Gallagher 4.7% 3.3% 4.3% 5.9% 6.3% 5.2% 6.6% 8.1% 10.6% 16.2% 13.3% 11.9% 3.6%
Patrick Isherwood 9.6% 10.8% 9.7% 9.1% 10.4% 11.6% 11.3% 9.7% 8.7% 4.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Reed Lorimer 7.6% 7.8% 9.1% 8.6% 9.6% 11.4% 10.9% 9.5% 8.7% 8.4% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Jennifer Lee 2.2% 1.7% 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.9% 4.1% 6.2% 9.2% 10.8% 19.9% 18.8% 14.5%
Ryan Gershuny 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.4% 5.3% 6.5% 10.7% 14.0% 17.8% 16.9% 9.6%
Amy Macdonald 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 1.2% 2.6% 3.6% 4.7% 7.3% 10.2% 19.4% 45.3%
Alexander Calderwood 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 5.4% 7.4% 10.4% 14.1% 24.4% 25.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.