Race 5B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cutter O'Connell 11.9% 11.4% 11.5% 11.4% 12.0% 11.2% 9.1% 7.6% 7.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Henry Dumke 9.9% 11.6% 12.2% 9.3% 11.8% 11.0% 9.9% 7.6% 8.2% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4%
John Rolander 20.3% 18.7% 13.2% 15.0% 10.7% 8.1% 6.1% 4.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jackson Hamilton 8.6% 7.7% 9.3% 11.5% 8.4% 9.5% 10.8% 10.5% 9.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Erin Mullins 13.3% 14.4% 11.5% 12.6% 9.6% 10.8% 10.2% 5.9% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Reed Lorimer 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 9.0% 9.9% 10.5% 10.9% 9.9% 9.3% 7.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Scott Booth 9.2% 7.6% 9.4% 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 10.6% 11.4% 9.3% 8.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Thomas Gallagher 2.7% 5.6% 4.2% 4.0% 4.8% 6.8% 7.4% 9.1% 12.2% 13.3% 13.9% 11.1% 4.9%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 1.3% 2.7% 3.4% 2.3% 4.7% 4.5% 8.4% 14.4% 20.7% 32.4%
Patrick Isherwood 10.1% 8.2% 12.1% 10.2% 11.9% 8.3% 10.3% 8.6% 8.0% 6.2% 3.4% 2.2% 0.5%
Ryan Gershuny 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.9% 7.5% 9.8% 15.4% 15.6% 15.0% 12.8%
Alexander Calderwood 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.7% 5.4% 5.8% 9.4% 14.1% 20.5% 30.4%
Jennifer Lee 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.7% 4.2% 3.8% 7.2% 8.8% 10.9% 16.6% 21.4% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.