Race 6B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
John Rolander 21.1% 17.5% 16.2% 12.1% 10.9% 8.1% 6.6% 3.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Booth 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 8.7% 11.1% 9.6% 9.1% 10.3% 11.6% 8.0% 4.7% 2.6% 0.3%
Thomas Gallagher 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 4.5% 6.5% 5.6% 8.7% 9.2% 12.5% 14.1% 13.2% 12.0% 4.8%
Cutter O'Connell 11.8% 11.2% 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 8.9% 10.6% 9.0% 6.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Jackson Hamilton 9.2% 8.8% 10.1% 8.5% 9.2% 10.6% 10.5% 11.5% 9.4% 6.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.5%
Patrick Isherwood 9.9% 10.5% 10.4% 9.7% 10.2% 10.6% 10.7% 8.7% 8.0% 6.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Reed Lorimer 9.7% 7.8% 8.4% 8.3% 8.6% 10.8% 9.9% 10.4% 10.8% 6.7% 6.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Erin Mullins 13.0% 13.2% 11.0% 14.4% 9.9% 12.0% 9.2% 7.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Jennifer Lee 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.1% 5.2% 8.0% 12.6% 15.2% 19.6% 18.5%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 0.9% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.4% 5.2% 10.3% 14.7% 20.3% 30.4%
Henry Dumke 9.8% 12.9% 11.6% 12.5% 9.4% 12.4% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Alexander Calderwood 0.6% 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 3.5% 4.7% 6.4% 9.5% 15.1% 20.5% 29.5%
Ryan Gershuny 1.9% 1.6% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 3.2% 4.7% 7.4% 8.7% 13.6% 17.9% 17.4% 14.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.