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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+5.07vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+2.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.03vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.85+1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+0.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49-2.35vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60-1.21vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.51-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.13+0.69vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24-0.64vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81-0.78vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.37-0.76vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.72-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.71Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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5.79Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.36University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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11.24Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Lorimer | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 21.6% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Scott Booth | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 15.7% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 12.2% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 23.1% | 19.8% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 44.7% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.