Race 8B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
John Rolander 20.0% 18.5% 17.7% 11.1% 11.2% 7.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Jackson Hamilton 8.0% 9.3% 8.7% 9.2% 11.3% 10.9% 9.1% 10.4% 10.0% 7.5% 3.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Thomas Gallagher 2.9% 2.5% 3.8% 6.1% 5.1% 6.2% 7.6% 9.4% 12.8% 15.3% 13.0% 11.6% 3.7%
Cutter O'Connell 12.6% 9.7% 13.4% 12.7% 10.7% 9.8% 7.8% 8.6% 7.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.0% 0.3%
Reed Lorimer 9.0% 7.9% 8.2% 10.3% 8.8% 9.7% 10.9% 12.8% 8.2% 7.3% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Henry Dumke 11.1% 11.7% 10.7% 11.5% 11.1% 10.6% 10.2% 7.9% 6.1% 4.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Erin Mullins 14.2% 14.9% 11.2% 11.9% 11.5% 9.9% 7.9% 8.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Patrick Isherwood 9.0% 10.6% 10.8% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 12.0% 10.3% 7.2% 5.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Scott Booth 7.0% 8.4% 8.4% 8.3% 8.5% 11.7% 12.7% 9.2% 9.5% 7.6% 6.2% 1.6% 0.9%
Ryan Gershuny 2.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 5.8% 11.1% 12.6% 16.7% 18.9% 12.3%
Jennifer Lee 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 3.0% 3.8% 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 8.8% 13.4% 18.7% 17.5% 12.3%
Alexander Calderwood 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 7.8% 9.2% 15.3% 23.5% 25.3%
Amy Macdonald 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.6% 7.3% 12.5% 19.8% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.