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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+2.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+2.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+0.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51+0.08vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.51-0.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.81+2.35vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.13+0.79vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-4.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.72-2.87vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.24-2.38vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.74-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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4.79Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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9.62University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.72Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter O'Connell | 12.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 20.1% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Reed Lorimer | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Scott Booth | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Calderwood | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 26.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 21.2% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.