Race 10B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 11.1% 10.0% 13.1% 9.6% 9.8% 11.3% 10.0% 8.6% 7.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4%
Jackson Hamilton 7.6% 9.4% 8.9% 9.2% 10.6% 9.9% 11.5% 9.3% 8.9% 7.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Erin Mullins 13.1% 13.1% 12.2% 10.9% 11.5% 11.7% 8.7% 8.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Cutter O'Connell 11.4% 10.6% 12.7% 12.3% 10.3% 10.7% 10.6% 7.6% 6.9% 3.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Scott Booth 8.5% 8.1% 9.0% 10.8% 7.7% 9.3% 9.8% 12.1% 9.5% 8.1% 4.0% 2.5% 0.6%
Reed Lorimer 8.0% 8.0% 8.6% 10.9% 9.0% 10.1% 10.1% 10.4% 8.2% 7.6% 5.9% 3.0% 0.2%
Thomas Gallagher 4.1% 3.8% 5.0% 4.6% 6.4% 5.3% 6.8% 8.2% 11.4% 14.4% 13.4% 11.6% 5.0%
John Rolander 21.0% 18.7% 12.9% 13.2% 12.9% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 9.4% 10.6% 10.0% 8.9% 10.8% 9.9% 10.7% 9.4% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Jennifer Lee 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 3.2% 2.9% 4.8% 5.3% 9.3% 11.7% 17.1% 18.8% 17.1%
Ryan Gershuny 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 3.6% 4.1% 5.0% 4.8% 7.4% 9.4% 14.0% 16.6% 16.8% 12.0%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.7% 6.8% 7.7% 13.4% 21.2% 33.4%
Alexander Calderwood 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 5.3% 6.5% 9.8% 14.6% 20.6% 30.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.