Race 11B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Reed Lorimer 7.6% 7.1% 9.9% 10.2% 8.3% 10.2% 10.0% 12.1% 9.6% 7.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Cutter O'Connell 11.0% 12.2% 11.7% 11.8% 12.8% 9.9% 9.2% 8.5% 6.5% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Henry Dumke 9.4% 12.6% 10.8% 9.7% 11.8% 9.8% 11.4% 9.5% 7.3% 4.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Erin Mullins 13.1% 12.8% 13.8% 12.9% 10.9% 10.1% 9.2% 7.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.3%
John Rolander 21.8% 19.6% 13.4% 12.8% 11.0% 7.9% 5.7% 3.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Isherwood 9.6% 10.5% 10.1% 10.4% 10.4% 12.1% 10.1% 8.7% 7.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Jackson Hamilton 10.9% 7.9% 9.6% 8.9% 9.4% 9.9% 10.8% 9.5% 9.4% 6.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Thomas Gallagher 3.4% 3.7% 5.6% 4.1% 4.9% 5.6% 7.6% 10.0% 12.4% 15.0% 14.2% 9.7% 3.8%
Scott Booth 8.0% 7.6% 7.9% 9.8% 8.8% 10.9% 10.1% 10.6% 10.1% 8.8% 4.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Amy Macdonald 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8% 2.4% 5.2% 7.1% 10.5% 20.0% 43.9%
Alexander Calderwood 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 2.5% 2.3% 4.2% 3.1% 5.2% 7.5% 12.1% 16.9% 21.8% 20.7%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 8.6% 12.8% 16.4% 20.7% 12.6%
Jennifer Lee 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.4% 2.7% 5.5% 7.3% 8.4% 11.3% 18.8% 18.6% 16.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.