Race 12B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 10.3% 9.7% 12.9% 10.7% 11.3% 10.9% 10.3% 8.6% 6.7% 5.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Cutter O'Connell 10.9% 11.6% 12.0% 12.2% 12.4% 9.6% 8.6% 8.9% 7.6% 3.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Scott Booth 6.2% 8.1% 8.4% 9.9% 9.3% 9.4% 11.5% 12.4% 9.7% 7.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4%
John Rolander 22.2% 15.6% 15.3% 13.6% 11.7% 7.2% 6.8% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Erin Mullins 14.0% 13.2% 12.9% 11.6% 11.2% 10.6% 9.3% 6.9% 5.3% 3.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Patrick Isherwood 9.2% 11.3% 10.1% 9.9% 10.5% 12.2% 9.8% 7.3% 9.0% 6.0% 3.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 10.9% 8.8% 7.4% 9.1% 9.3% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Ryan Gershuny 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 9.4% 15.3% 16.2% 18.7% 10.0%
Thomas Gallagher 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 5.8% 7.4% 8.9% 12.7% 14.4% 15.0% 10.2% 4.5%
Alexander Calderwood 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 2.7% 2.3% 3.0% 5.1% 6.2% 12.0% 15.8% 21.7% 23.8%
Reed Lorimer 7.5% 10.2% 9.0% 8.2% 9.2% 11.6% 11.0% 10.9% 8.0% 7.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Jennifer Lee 1.1% 2.6% 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 4.8% 4.0% 5.8% 8.7% 12.2% 17.6% 18.7% 16.9%
Amy Macdonald 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.1% 2.1% 3.8% 4.3% 5.7% 12.9% 21.4% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.