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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College-0.29+5.45vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.48+1.49vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73-0.26vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+0.47vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07-2.20vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.79+0.58vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.27-1.42vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.26-3.76vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-1.99-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.35-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Connecticut College-0.295.8%1st Place
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4.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.7%1st Place
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4.49University of Vermont0.4812.8%1st Place
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3.74Clemson University0.7318.4%1st Place
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5.47Christopher Newport University0.659.0%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University1.0717.8%1st Place
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7.58Washington College-0.793.1%1st Place
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6.58SUNY Maritime College-0.275.2%1st Place
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5.24North Carolina State University0.269.8%1st Place
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9.69William and Mary-1.991.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Maryland-1.352.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Natalie Fear | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Audrey Commerford | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
Nilah Miller | 18.4% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Grace Watlington | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Imogene Nuss | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 9.8% |
Isabelle Gautier | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
Evelyn Hannah | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Alexa Bodor | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 55.3% |
Lara Nielsen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 25.6% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.