Race 2A

david-lee-arnoff-hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Seago 9.3% 9.9% 9.6% 10.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.9% 8.9% 7.7% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6%
Joseph David 8.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.1% 10.7% 10.0% 8.7% 8.5% 9.4% 7.2% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0%
Eddie Cox 12.4% 10.7% 12.3% 11.8% 11.6% 9.8% 9.4% 7.4% 6.8% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Charles Bocklet 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 6.6% 7.7% 9.0% 11.5% 12.4% 13.1% 9.4%
Jonathan Lutz 8.7% 11.7% 9.5% 9.8% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.6% 7.7% 6.4% 4.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Adam DeVita 2.2% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 3.3% 3.9% 6.0% 6.6% 7.8% 9.7% 14.7% 17.6% 18.1%
Griffin Orr 6.4% 5.6% 6.9% 6.4% 7.4% 8.2% 7.8% 9.7% 10.9% 9.1% 11.4% 6.7% 3.5%
Peter Hidley 2.6% 4.3% 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 5.2% 5.7% 7.8% 9.6% 12.3% 14.3% 14.5% 11.6%
Duncan Howes 8.5% 7.2% 8.0% 9.1% 8.2% 8.5% 11.2% 9.1% 7.8% 8.6% 7.1% 4.9% 1.8%
Patrick Snow 19.7% 16.5% 15.3% 12.1% 9.4% 8.6% 6.0% 5.5% 3.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Vincent Storino 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 11.1% 11.9% 13.2% 15.0% 11.9%
Travis Cottle 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 7.2% 8.3% 18.0% 41.2%
Hunter Johnstone 14.0% 13.3% 11.7% 12.4% 11.3% 10.7% 8.9% 8.5% 3.7% 2.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.