Race 3A

david-lee-arnoff-hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eddie Cox 11.9% 11.1% 13.5% 9.8% 11.5% 10.1% 9.0% 8.4% 5.9% 4.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Griffin Orr 4.8% 6.3% 5.2% 7.1% 8.1% 8.4% 8.5% 9.0% 10.9% 11.4% 9.7% 7.4% 3.2%
Peter Hidley 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 6.1% 6.0% 5.2% 8.6% 9.4% 12.1% 12.6% 16.7% 11.6%
Hunter Johnstone 14.5% 13.8% 13.0% 11.5% 10.5% 9.2% 10.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
Ryan Seago 9.9% 11.3% 10.0% 10.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.9% 9.6% 7.4% 6.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Joseph David 9.0% 8.7% 10.1% 11.3% 9.7% 8.5% 10.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.0% 6.3% 2.6% 1.0%
Duncan Howes 9.6% 7.2% 8.6% 7.6% 8.3% 10.5% 10.0% 9.0% 9.3% 7.4% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3%
Charles Bocklet 3.4% 5.0% 4.5% 5.4% 4.4% 6.4% 7.0% 10.2% 11.2% 10.6% 11.6% 12.2% 8.1%
Jonathan Lutz 9.3% 8.4% 9.8% 10.6% 10.5% 9.3% 10.1% 9.5% 7.6% 6.2% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0%
Travis Cottle 1.1% 1.8% 2.8% 1.8% 3.0% 2.8% 2.4% 3.8% 7.4% 7.1% 12.4% 16.0% 37.6%
Patrick Snow 19.6% 18.8% 14.2% 12.9% 10.6% 8.4% 6.5% 4.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 5.0% 7.5% 12.1% 12.2% 18.1% 20.1%
Vincent Storino 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 5.0% 3.3% 5.6% 6.0% 7.3% 9.0% 11.0% 13.9% 16.4% 15.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.