Race 4A

david-lee-arnoff-hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Seago 9.0% 10.6% 11.2% 9.8% 9.4% 10.0% 10.2% 10.1% 6.8% 6.0% 3.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Charles Bocklet 3.9% 3.7% 4.8% 4.6% 6.0% 6.3% 7.6% 8.1% 10.8% 10.1% 14.3% 12.6% 7.2%
Duncan Howes 6.6% 8.8% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5% 10.4% 10.0% 10.9% 9.3% 8.7% 6.3% 3.9% 1.2%
Adam DeVita 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 4.1% 6.3% 8.2% 9.4% 15.2% 18.1% 18.2%
Patrick Snow 20.3% 16.7% 13.0% 12.4% 11.1% 9.6% 6.6% 4.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Eddie Cox 12.4% 12.8% 11.0% 12.9% 10.1% 10.8% 9.0% 6.1% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Hunter Johnstone 14.4% 13.9% 14.0% 12.5% 10.2% 7.8% 8.4% 7.6% 5.5% 2.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.4%
Jonathan Lutz 10.0% 9.6% 10.4% 9.2% 10.9% 9.0% 10.3% 10.1% 7.1% 6.7% 3.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Peter Hidley 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 3.3% 4.7% 5.3% 4.8% 7.1% 9.0% 12.9% 12.7% 14.3% 14.6%
Joseph David 9.1% 8.4% 10.2% 10.5% 9.6% 9.6% 9.4% 8.9% 7.5% 6.2% 6.0% 3.6% 1.0%
Vincent Storino 2.8% 2.5% 3.3% 4.8% 4.9% 6.2% 6.6% 6.5% 10.3% 12.0% 12.9% 15.6% 11.6%
Travis Cottle 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 6.3% 6.9% 10.7% 17.4% 39.4%
Griffin Orr 4.1% 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 7.9% 7.4% 9.6% 9.9% 10.2% 12.1% 9.4% 6.8% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.